Computational scenario planning for disaster management

Program Code: 1885

Objectives:

Scenarios are pen-pictures of plausible futures, used for strategic planning. The aim of this project is to expand the horizon of scenario-based planning through computational models that are able to aid the analyst in the planning process of a disaster. The investigation builds upon the advances of Information and Communication Technology (ICT) to create a novel, flexible and customizable computational capability-based planning methodology that is practical and theoretically sound. The project relies on fusing skills in Strategic Management and Scenario Planning with Evolutionary Computation, Simulation, and Graph Theory.

Description of Work:

Developing an understanding of scenario planning

Building skills in evolutionary computation, computational intelligence, simulation and graph theory

Developing methodologies for representing and simulating large scale disaster scenarios

Evaluating the system on a number of real-world situations.

Contact:

Prof Hussein Abbass h.abbass@adfa.edu.au